Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a general election be held in Mali before 2021?

Resolved :No1%
6
13
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
86.8
Community Peer Score
26.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
tl
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
United Nations Security Council
Mali
Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta

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