🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If tested, would the most powerful quesion-answering AI system as of 2022-06-01 demonstrate text-based intelligence parity with human 5th graders?

Resolved :Ambiguous19%
10
6
Total Forecasters54
Community Prediction19% (14% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 19%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Technology
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Machine learning

Comments

? comments