M

Question

If Trump is re-elected President, how many lawful permanent residents will reside in the US on January 1, 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous14M
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction14M (13.8M - 14.1M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<11M0.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%13.79M
median13.96M
upper 75%14.15M
Upper bound
>15M0.8%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:
Opened:Aug 29, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Feb 6, 2021

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