Question
If no human challenge trials are run for COVID-19 before February 5, 2021, how many total deaths in the US will be directly attributed to COVID-19 in 2021?
Resolved :460kTotal Forecasters50
Community Prediction460k
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My Prediction
community<10k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10M
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0.2%
352.5k
459.7k
574k
0.3%
What was the final result?460k
Community Baseline Score
15.8
Community Peer Score
27.0
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