Question

Will California pass Proposition 22 to classify app-based drivers as independent contractors?

Resolved :Yes

30 comments30

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

38.1

Community Peer Score

5.8

median 70.0%mean 70.0%

Authors:

amanda@ought

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

DoorDash

California Assembly Bill 540 (2001)

Instacart

2000 California Proposition 22

San Francisco County Superior Court

California

Uber

Postmates

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

amanda@ought

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

DoorDash

California Assembly Bill 540 (2001)

Instacart

2000 California Proposition 22

San Francisco County Superior Court

California

Uber

Postmates

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FOX News•Nov 12, 2024

California voters reject measure that would have banned forced prison labor

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

California voters reject measure that would have raised minimum wage to nation-high $18 per hour

Associated Press•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Will California carry through with Governor Newsom's plan to sell only zero-emission electric cars and passenger trucks by 2035?

50%