Question

Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted of first-degree intentional homicide?

Resolved :No25%

99 comments99

Total Forecasters200

Community Prediction25% (19% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

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74.3

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8.9

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Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Kenosha, Wisconsin

Lake County, Illinois

Antioch, Illinois

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Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

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2079-07-09

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

emilowk

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Law

Politics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Kenosha, Wisconsin

Lake County, Illinois

Antioch, Illinois

Murder

How Luigi Mangione’s notebook helped the case and what’s next as he heads to trial

CNN•Dec 20, 2024

Risk Luigi Mangione Trial Ends in Hung Jury 'Absolutely' Elevated—Lawyer

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Will Luigi Mangione's Insanity Defense Work? Experts Weigh In

Newsweek•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

2079-07-09

Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?

54%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted of first-degree intentional homicide?

Make a Prediction

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?

Comments

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

When will someone first be convicted of a murder that occurred outside of Earth's atmosphere?

Will Israel be found guilty in South Africa's genocide case by the ICJ before January 1, 2027?