Question

Will 2018 be the warmest year on record?

Resolved :No33%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters261

Community Prediction33% (20% - 54%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-10.4

Community Peer Score

29.8

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Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Chemistry

Goddard Institute for Space Studies

Atmospheric science

Environmental science

Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere

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Will the following years be the warmest year on record?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%

When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?

2029-08-16

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