Question

Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?

Resolved :-282.8

20 comments20

Total Forecasters65

Community Prediction2.8 (-6.71 - 12.1)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

-6.707

2.797

12.06

What was the final result?-28

Community Baseline Score

22.5

Community Peer Score

21.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

shibboleth

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

China Urges 'Stability' in Syria as Victorious Uyghur Rebels Threaten Xi

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

UNGA demands permanent ceasefire in Gaza: How did your country vote?

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Al-Assad’s fall in Syria: What’s at stake for China?

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

78.5%

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

shibboleth

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

China Urges 'Stability' in Syria as Victorious Uyghur Rebels Threaten Xi

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

UNGA demands permanent ceasefire in Gaza: How did your country vote?

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Al-Assad’s fall in Syria: What’s at stake for China?

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

0.1%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

78.5%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Global support and side-flipping on China's Uyghur policies in Xinjiang by 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Comments

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?