Question

Will Biden drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?

Resolved :No

37 comments37

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction13%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 13%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

81.3

Community Peer Score

9.9

median 13.0%mean 15.0%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Commission on Presidential Debates

Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?

2.5%

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

Comments

? comments