Question

When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?

Community Prediction19 Mar 202525 Jul 202530 Nov 202506 Apr 202612 Aug 202618 Dec 202625 Apr 202731 Aug 2027Mar 05Mar 09Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 02Apr 06Apr 10Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22Apr 26Apr 30May 04now
Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction
26 May 2026
(28 May 2025 - >31 Aug 2027)

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CDF

Aug 2020Jun 2022Mar 2024Nov 2025Aug 2027
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%28 May 2025
median26 May 2026
upper 75%>31 Aug 2027
Upper bound
>31 Aug 202728.0%
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 7, 2020
Closes:Sep 4, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Sep 4, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 9, 2020

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