Question

When will Amazon deliver some products by drone?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction2026-05-26 (2025-05-28 - 2027-08-31)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2027-08-31

...

2025-05-28 01:18

2026-05-26 11:49

>2027-08-31 00:00

28.0%

Authors:

krtnu

Opened:

Sep 7, 2020

Closes:

Sep 4, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 4, 2027

Amazon suspends commercial drone deliveries in Texas, Arizona after two crashes in rainy weather

New York Post•Jan 20, 2025

New Glenn launch: Blue Origin's reusable rocket set for maiden flight

New Scientist•Jan 23, 2025

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Forbes•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

krtnu

Opened:

Sep 7, 2020

Closes:

Sep 4, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 4, 2027

Amazon suspends commercial drone deliveries in Texas, Arizona after two crashes in rainy weather

New York Post•Jan 20, 2025

New Glenn launch: Blue Origin's reusable rocket set for maiden flight

New Scientist•Jan 23, 2025

Here Are The Startups Jeff Bezos Invested In Last Year

Forbes•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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