Question

Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction54%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54%

median 54.0%mean 54.3%

Authors:

Bob_Muller

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Nissan

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

Electrical engineering

Is the $7500 Federal EV Tax Credit Going Away Under Trump?

Newsweek•Nov 16, 2024

Xpeng's CEO says most Chinese carmakers will not survive the next decade

Business Insider•Nov 19, 2024

Stalled European Electric Vehicle Sales Trigger 4,000 Job Cuts At Ford

Forbes•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

9.7

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Bob_Muller

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Nissan

Electric vehicle

Internal combustion engine

Electrical engineering

Is the $7500 Federal EV Tax Credit Going Away Under Trump?

Newsweek•Nov 16, 2024

Xpeng's CEO says most Chinese carmakers will not survive the next decade

Business Insider•Nov 19, 2024

Stalled European Electric Vehicle Sales Trigger 4,000 Job Cuts At Ford

Forbes•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

9.7

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23