🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many parameters (in billions) is needed to achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?

15
4
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction107 (24.8 - 627)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<20
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
...
19.6%
24.84
106.6
627.2
4.3%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Google
Machine learning
T5
OpenAI

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