Question

How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction6.39

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>22

...

5.154

6.392

7.994

0.2%

Authors:

lars3loff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

State of Palestine

Bahrain–Qatar relations

Bahrain

Arab League

Member states of the Arab League

Khartoum Resolution

Egypt–Israel Peace Treaty

Israel–Jordan peace treaty

Jordan

Israel

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

61%

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lars3loff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

State of Palestine

Bahrain–Qatar relations

Bahrain

Arab League

Member states of the Arab League

Khartoum Resolution

Egypt–Israel Peace Treaty

Israel–Jordan peace treaty

Jordan

Israel

The Fault is in Ourselves: The Arabs and Their Leaders

CounterPunch•Nov 12, 2024

Optimism and uncertainty as Middle East awaits Trump’s return

•Nov 12, 2024

Netanyahu offers Trump ‘gift’ of Lebanon cease-fire talks — despite most Israelis disagreeing

New York Post•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

61%