Question

How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction6.39 (5.15 - 7.99)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>22

...

5.154

6.392

7.994

0.2%

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Authors:

lars3loff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

State of Palestine

Bahrain–Qatar relations

Bahrain

Arab League

Member states of the Arab League

Khartoum Resolution

Egypt–Israel Peace Treaty

Israel–Jordan peace treaty

Jordan

Israel

Prospects and Challenges in the Middle East

•Dec 13, 2024

Middle East latest: Israeli airstrikes kill 28 in Gaza, including 7 children, health officials say

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

W.E.N.A - The Middle East Has A New Name For The West

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

lars3loff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

State of Palestine

Bahrain–Qatar relations

Bahrain

Arab League

Member states of the Arab League

Khartoum Resolution

Egypt–Israel Peace Treaty

Israel–Jordan peace treaty

Jordan

Israel

Prospects and Challenges in the Middle East

•Dec 13, 2024

Middle East latest: Israeli airstrikes kill 28 in Gaza, including 7 children, health officials say

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

W.E.N.A - The Middle East Has A New Name For The West

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

How many Arab League member states will have normalized relations with Israel in 2027?

Make a Prediction

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Comments

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?