🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

LIGO announcement of a neutron star merger in NGC 4993?

Resolved :Yes71%
5
5
Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction71% (63% - 77%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 71%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
63.5
Community Peer Score
-0.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Greg
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Space
Natural Sciences
2017 Leaderboard
Astronomy
University of Texas at Austin
University of Washington
Physics
Hubble Space Telescope
Chandra X-ray Observatory
LIGO Scientific Collaboration
Astrophysics
LIGO

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