Question

Will Trump drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?

Resolved :No

25 comments25

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

85.4

Community Peer Score

5.1

median 15.0%mean 16.1%

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Commission on Presidential Debates

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

Will Kamala Harris be president before inauguration day 2025?

2.5%

Comments

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