Question
When will AI achieve competency on multi-choice questions across diverse fields of expertise (MMLU)?
Total Forecasters86
Community Prediction2025-08-06 (2024-10-21 - 2026-09-07)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2024 | — |
| median | Aug 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2039-12-31 | 1.0% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2040
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2040
