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How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?
18
24 comments
24
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
102
Community Prediction
9.1
Make a Prediction
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>100
...
...
...
...
5.364
9.104
15.16
0.2%
Background Info
Authors:
isinlor
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Social Sciences
Technology
Phobos (moon)
SpaceX
Human mission to Mars
Deimos (moon)
SpaceX reusable launch system
NASA
Colonization of Mars
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Authors:
isinlor
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Space
Economy & Business
Social Sciences
Technology
Phobos (moon)
SpaceX
Human mission to Mars
Deimos (moon)
SpaceX reusable launch system
NASA
Colonization of Mars
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
A new life on Mars? Expect toxic dust, bad vibes and insects for lunch
New Scientist
•
Nov 13, 2024
Space travel should not be just ‘for the elites’, says new British astronaut
Guardian
•
Nov 16, 2024
SpaceX Starship: Everything you’ve ever wondered but were afraid to ask
TechCrunch
•
Nov 16, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
A new life on Mars? Expect toxic dust, bad vibes and insects for lunch
New Scientist
•
Nov 13, 2024
Space travel should not be just ‘for the elites’, says new British astronaut
Guardian
•
Nov 16, 2024
SpaceX Starship: Everything you’ve ever wondered but were afraid to ask
TechCrunch
•
Nov 16, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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