Question

How big will be the first crew sent to Mars?

24 comments24

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction9.1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100

...

5.364

9.104

15.16

0.2%

Authors:

isinlor

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Human mission to Mars

Deimos (moon)

SpaceX reusable launch system

NASA

Colonization of Mars

When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?

2042-12-26

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

When will China first successfully land people on Mars?

2047-09-22

Comments

? comments

Authors:

isinlor

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Human mission to Mars

Deimos (moon)

SpaceX reusable launch system

NASA

Colonization of Mars

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TechCrunch•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first humans land successfully on Mars?

2042-12-26

Who will be the first group to land a human on Mars?

When will China first successfully land people on Mars?

2047-09-22