Question
What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction0.709 (0.0921 - 1.36)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.03 | 21.2% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.09206 | — |
| median | 0.7088 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.357 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >33 | 7.8% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200