Question

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction7e-1

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<3e-2

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>33

...

19.3%

1e-1

7e-1

1.39

7.8%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

Technology

Cryonics Institute

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

23rd century

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

62%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

Comments

? comments

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

Technology

Cryonics Institute

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

23rd century

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Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

62%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

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What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

Make a Prediction

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

Comments

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?