Question

What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters25

Community Prediction0.74

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<0.03

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>33

...

19.3%

0.1298

0.7401

1.386

7.8%

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

Technology

Cryonics Institute

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

23rd century

Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

66%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15

Comments

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Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

Technology

Cryonics Institute

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

23rd century

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Will the Cryonics Institute go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

83%

Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?

66%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

2.15