Question
What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
0.756 ratio
(0.139 ratio - 1.38 ratio)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.03 | 19.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.1389 | — |
| median | 0.7565 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.381 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >33 | 7.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2020
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 6, 2020