Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What fraction of England’s population will live in London at the end of 2022?

Resolved :15.516
9
11
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction16 (15.8 - 16.2)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<12
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
15.83
16
16.18
0.1%

What was the final result?15.5

Community Baseline Score
57.6
Community Peer Score
12.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
alexrjl
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
Social Sciences
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Office for National Statistics (UK)
England
London

Comments

? comments