M

Question

What fraction of England’s population will live in London at the end of 2022?

Resolved :15.516
Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction16 (15.8 - 16.2)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<120.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%15.83
median16
upper 75%16.18
Upper bound
>200.1%

What was the final result?15.5

Community Baseline Score
57.6
Community Peer Score
12.6
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Nov 23, 2023

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