Question
Which value will Metaculus least predict?
Resolved :862M646MTotal Forecasters9
Community Prediction646M (596M - 721M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<596M | 24.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 596.2M | — |
median | 646.4M | — |
upper 75% | 720.8M | — |
What was the final result?862M
Community Baseline Score
148.6
Community Peer Score
168.8
Authors:
Opened:Sep 27, 2020
Closes:Oct 4, 2020
Resolves:Oct 4, 2020
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 27, 2020
Closes:Oct 4, 2020
Resolves:Oct 4, 2020