M

Question

If Lesswrong holds a similar Petrov Day event in 2021, will the "red button" be pressed?

Resolved :No47%
Total Forecasters135
Community Prediction47% (35% - 51%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 47%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-5.5
Community Peer Score
17.3
Authors:
Opened:Sep 29, 2020
Closes:Sep 24, 2021
Resolves:Sep 28, 2021

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