Question

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

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Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction20% (10% - 21.7%)

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community: 20%

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Space

Natural Sciences

Astronomy

Discovery and exploration of the Solar System

Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite

Michael E. Brown

California Institute of Technology

Kuiper belt

Debunked: January 25’s ‘Once In 396 Billion Years’ Planetary Alignment

Forbes•Jan 17, 2025

The Fate of NASA’s Mars Sample Return Program May Be Decided in 2026

Scientific American•Jan 21, 2025

Do aliens exist? We studied what scientists really think

Raw Story•Jan 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

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Authors:

NoUsernameSelected

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Astronomy

Discovery and exploration of the Solar System

Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite

Michael E. Brown

California Institute of Technology

Kuiper belt

Debunked: January 25’s ‘Once In 396 Billion Years’ Planetary Alignment

Forbes•Jan 17, 2025

The Fate of NASA’s Mars Sample Return Program May Be Decided in 2026

Scientific American•Jan 21, 2025

Do aliens exist? We studied what scientists really think

Raw Story•Jan 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch