🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the 25th amendment of the US constitution be invoked before November 3rd?

Resolved :No15%
12
5
Total Forecasters46
Community Prediction15% (10% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
67.9
Community Peer Score
5.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
Vice President of the US
Speaker of the US House of Representatives
President pro tempore of the United States Senate
Constitution of the US
President of the US
Twenty-fifth Amendment to the United States Constitution

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