Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many State of AI Report 2020 predictions will be judged true by their authors in the 2021 report?

Resolved :54.01
9
19
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction4.01 (3.02 - 4.95)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
3.021
4.008
4.95

What was the final result?5

Community Baseline Score
97.2
Community Peer Score
62.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
deKlik
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2020-2021 Leaderboard
Facebook
Ian Hogarth
Nvidia
DeepMind

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