Question

By March 1st, 2021, will Israel and Saudi Arabia announce a peace or normalization agreement?

Resolved :No37%

44 comments44

Total Forecasters128

Community Prediction37% (14% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

55.7

Community Peer Score

8.0

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Authors:

yshemesh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

How Trump might actually keep his controversial promise about the Middle East

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

Netanyahu says he spoke with Trump about need for ‘victory,’ as Israeli government approves plan for Golan expansion

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

A new geo-political map is unfolding – The end of Syria (and of “Palestine” for now)

Strategic Culture•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

yshemesh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest

How Trump might actually keep his controversial promise about the Middle East

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

Netanyahu says he spoke with Trump about need for ‘victory,’ as Israeli government approves plan for Golan expansion

CNN•Dec 16, 2024

A new geo-political map is unfolding – The end of Syria (and of “Palestine” for now)

Strategic Culture•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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By March 1st, 2021, will Israel and Saudi Arabia announce a peace or normalization agreement?

Make a Prediction

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Comments

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?