🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the S&P 500 close higher in 2020 than 2019?

Resolved :Yes70%
13
45
Total Forecasters152
Community Prediction70% (60% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
52.4
Community Peer Score
8.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
yshemesh
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Economy & Business
2020 Leaderboard
New York Stock Exchange
S&P 500 Index
Nasdaq

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