🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By January 2021, will Consumer Confidence in the United States return to optimism?

Resolved :No22%
7
35
Total Forecasters112
Community Prediction22% (15% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
46.3
Community Peer Score
9.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
yshemesh
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Economy & Business
2020 Leaderboard
United States
Consumer confidence index

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