🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

On January 1st, 2021, will Americans' opposition to Black Lives Matter be higher than 40%?

Resolved :No35%
11
26
Total Forecasters159
Community Prediction35% (29% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
26.8
Community Peer Score
11.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
yshemesh
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
George Floyd
Black Lives Matter
United States

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