Question

What will the democracy index of Kyrgyzstan be in 2022?

Resolved :3.624.37

7 comments7

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction4.37 (3.8 - 4.94)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

3.8

4.373

4.939

What was the final result?3.62

Community Baseline Score

46.9

Community Peer Score

7.1

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Oct 10, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2022

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2023

Politics

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Economist Intelligence Unit

Democracy Index

Hybrid regime

Kyrgyzstan

Belarus strongman set to win a 7th term in an election the opposition calls a farce

Associated Press•Jan 26, 2025

The message voters around the world sent to leaders in 2024: ‘You’re fired’

PBS NewsHour•Jan 27, 2025

Belarus exit poll puts Lukashenko on 87.6% of vote in presidential election

Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024?

5.48

When will The Economist rank Russia as a hybrid regime or better in its Democracy Index?

2041-06-19

What will be the Democracy Index of Russia in the 2030 report by the Economist Intelligence Unit?

2.29

Comments

? comments