Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will John McAfee receive a prison term of at least 3 years?

Resolved :No1%
7
21
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction1% (1% - 52%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-2.4
Community Peer Score
1.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
emilowk
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Tax evasion
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
US Department of Justice
John McAfee
United States
Spain

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