Question

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction34.4% (5% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 34.4%

Authors:

WilliamKiely

Opened:

Oct 14, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

US dollar

Gross world product

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Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles?

57%

Will a 8-year gross world product doubling complete before a 2-year doubling does?

61%

When will we have transformative AI?

2040-04-09

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