Question

By how many votes will the losing party fall short of winning control of the Senate in the 2020 Senate elections?

Resolved :54.9k

39 comments39

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction321k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3M

...

170.4k

321.4k

511.8k

0.2%

What was the final result?54.9k

Community Baseline Score

75.4

Community Peer Score

12.8

Authors:

WilliamKiely

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Democratic Party (US)

2020 United States Senate elections

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

WilliamKiely

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Democratic Party (US)

2020 United States Senate elections

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

[UPDATE] Nine House Races Still up in the Air

PJ Media•Nov 15, 2024

What Republicans could do with their power as they secure control of House and Senate

PBS NewsHour•Nov 15, 2024

How Democrat gerrymandering has made it nearly impossible for Republicans to make even bigger gains in the House

New York Post•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

12.5%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

69%