Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

By how many votes will the losing party fall short of winning control of the Senate in the 2020 Senate elections?

Resolved :54.9k321k
5
39
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction321k (170k - 512k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3M
...
...
...
...
170.4k
321.4k
511.8k
0.2%

What was the final result?54.9k

Community Baseline Score
75.4
Community Peer Score
12.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
WilliamKiely
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2020 Leaderboard
2020 United States Senate elections
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
US Senate

Comments

? comments