Question

Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?

Resolved :124.12

25 comments25

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction4.12 (3.98 - 9.75)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

3.98

4.125

9.75

What was the final result?12

Community Baseline Score

27.0

Community Peer Score

178.3

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Authors:

isinlor

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Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

World Health Organization

Doctors warn of a 'quad-demic' this winter as four viral infections soar and mask mandates creep back in

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

COVID Map Update Reveals Most Active States for Virus Ahead of Christmas

Newsweek•Dec 24, 2024

Yemen facing ‘highest burden’ of global cholera outbreak, WHO warns

Al Jazeera•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?

163k

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

What will be the maximum global single-year death toll attributable to a single pandemic between 2022 to 2121?

38.2M

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