Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile between November 3rd 2020 and March 1st 2021?

Resolved :No25%
4
25
Total Forecasters118
Community Prediction25% (14% - 37%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
62.9
Community Peer Score
12.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
yshemesh
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Geopolitics
2020 Leaderboard
United Nations Security Council
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
Kim Jong-un
Intercontinental ballistic missile
North Korea
Workers' Party of Korea

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