🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile between November 3rd 2020 and March 1st 2021?

Resolved :No25%
4
25
Total Forecasters118
Community Prediction25% (14% - 37%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
62.9
Community Peer Score
12.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
yshemesh
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Geopolitics
2020 Leaderboard
United Nations Security Council
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
Kim Jong-un
Intercontinental ballistic missile
North Korea
Workers' Party of Korea

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