🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will there be at least 10 fatalites caused in post-election political violence in the United States?

Resolved :No36%
17
67
Total Forecasters147
Community Prediction36% (20% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 36%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
39.7
Community Peer Score
44.8
Authors:
yshemesh
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
Black Lives Matter
United States
US presidential election
Donald Trump

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