M

Question

Will polling in the US presidential election miss the true results by 3 percentage points or more?

Resolved :No
Total Forecasters119
Community Prediction40%

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community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
27.0
Community Peer Score
33.3
median 40.0%mean 43.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


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