M

Question

Will polling in the US presidential election miss the true results by 3 percentage points or more?

Resolved :No40%
Total Forecasters119
Community Prediction40% (25% - 55%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
27.0
Community Peer Score
33.3
Authors:
Opened:Oct 19, 2020
Closes:Oct 30, 2020
Resolves:Dec 15, 2020

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