Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the next US Supreme Court vacancy arise?

Resolved :Jun 30, 20222022-08-04
23
36
Total Forecasters101
Community Prediction2022-08-04 (2022-06-02 - 2022-10-20)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2025-01-01
...
...
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2022-06-02 04:48
2022-08-04 11:12
2022-10-20 08:43
2.9%

What was the final result?Jun 30, 2022

Community Baseline Score
43.1
Community Peer Score
36.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Law
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Supreme Court of the US
Article Three of the United States Constitution
Amy Coney Barrett
Marbury v. Madison
Judiciary Act of 1869
Ruth Bader Ginsburg

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