Question

When will be the next S&P 500 correction?

Resolved :Feb 22, 20222022-03-01

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction2022-03-01 (2022-02-03 - 2022-04-27)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2025-12-31
community	Feb 2022	Mar 2022	Apr 2022	0.6%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Feb 2022	—
median	Mar 2022	—
upper 75%	Apr 2022	—
Upper bound
>2025-12-31	0.6%	—

What was the final result?Feb 22, 2022

Community Baseline Score

20.6

Community Peer Score

18.4

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Oct 19, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Economy & Business

2016-2025 Leaderboard

S&P 500 Index

Chart watchers worry the S&P 500 could soon test its 200-day moving average

CNBC•Mar 4, 2025

Nasdaq teeters near correction territory, down nearly 10% from record high

CNBC•Mar 5, 2025

Stock market today: Nasdaq enters correction, S&P 500 sinks to lowest since November as stocks get clobbered on Trump tariff whiplash

•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Oct 19, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Economy & Business

2016-2025 Leaderboard

S&P 500 Index

Chart watchers worry the S&P 500 could soon test its 200-day moving average

CNBC•Mar 4, 2025

Nasdaq teeters near correction territory, down nearly 10% from record high

CNBC•Mar 5, 2025

Stock market today: Nasdaq enters correction, S&P 500 sinks to lowest since November as stocks get clobbered on Trump tariff whiplash

•Mar 7, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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