Question
When will AI be able to learn to play Montezuma's Revenge in less than 30 min?
Total Forecasters61
Community Prediction
29 Jan 2026
(03 Mar 2025 - 06 May 2027)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 03 Mar 2025 | — |
| median | 29 Jan 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 06 May 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2034 | 0.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2021
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 2, 2021