Question

How many consumer plug-in electric vehicles (PEV) will be sold in the US in 2020?

Resolved :298k290k

5 comments5

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction290k (267k - 315k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

266.6k

290.2k

314.8k

What was the final result?298k

Community Baseline Score

81.3

Community Peer Score

22.1

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MetaculusOutlooks

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Resolves:

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy

United States

US Department of Energy

Medicine

Virology

Plug-in electric vehicles in the United States

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Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

What percentage of US car sales will be all-electric in 2050?

82.3

What percentage of new vehicle production will be electric in the US in 2027?

28.7

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