Question

Will a US Supreme Court Justice be impeached and removed before 2030?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters121

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

median 4.0%mean 6.2%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Law

Politics

US House of Representatives

Supreme Court of the US

Samuel Chase

US Senate

In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?

2025-09-09

Will the US Supreme Court change its membership size before 2050?

38%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Law

Politics

US House of Representatives

Supreme Court of the US

Samuel Chase

US Senate

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Despite pressure on Sotomayor, Supreme Court unlikely to change before Trump takes office. Here's why.

CBS•Nov 9, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?

When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?

2025-09-09

Will the US Supreme Court change its membership size before 2050?

38%