Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be, at the end of 2022?

Resolved :90.991.9
3
1
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction91.9 (91.2 - 92.8)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
91.22
91.85
92.78

What was the final result?90.9

Community Baseline Score
71.2
Community Peer Score
18.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
AI Technical Benchmarks
Artificial Intelligence
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Culture
History
Machine learning
Stanford University
Wikipedia
Education

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