Question

What will be the differential in sales between the most-sold and second most-sold consumer electric vehicles in America in 2021?

Resolved :39.9k117k

8 comments8

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction117k (91.7k - 144k)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>150k

...

0.9%

91.66k

116.9k

143.9k

20.7%

What was the final result?39.9k

Community Baseline Score

-54.4

Community Peer Score

16.1

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Energy

Chemistry

US Department of Energy

Toyota Prius Plug-in Hybrid

Tesla Model S

EV sales reach new highs in Australia, making up nearly 10% of car market

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

The federal EV tax credit has an uncertain fate. What car shoppers should know

NPR Online News•Dec 16, 2024

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-23

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

9.6

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