Question

How many species of pangolin will survive to 2050?

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction5.87 (4.3 - 6.9)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	4.305	5.873	6.895
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	4.305	—
median	5.873	—
upper 75%	6.895	—

Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Feb 3, 2021

Closes:

Nov 27, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2051

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

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Independent•Mar 5, 2025

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How many languages will be endangered at the end of 2030?

3.45k

What percent of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on January 1, 2050?

25.4

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

30%

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Authors:

tetraspace

Opened:

Feb 3, 2021

Closes:

Nov 27, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2051

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

Australian minister taken to court over 11 threatened species

Independent•Mar 5, 2025

Africa’s elephants have been in dramatic decline for 50 years. What can be done to save them – new study

The Conversation•Mar 5, 2025

Elephants and rhinos at increased risk of poaching due to Trump funding cuts, groups say

Guardian•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many languages will be endangered at the end of 2030?

3.45k

What percent of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on January 1, 2050?

25.4

Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?

30%