Question

Will Germany overtake the US in the share of new EV registrations by 2025?

Resolved :Yes

4 comments4

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction60%

Make a Prediction

community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

16.5

Community Peer Score

12.5

median 60.0%mean 69.6%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-21

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

9.7

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Peugeot owner and VW call for faster switch to electric vehicles

Guardian•Oct 14, 2024

Automakers will find themselves in a 'big trap' if the transition toward EVs slows down, Stellantis CEO says

Business Insider•Oct 15, 2024

Car makers plea to Chancellor for incentives to help slash EV prices as 'demand isn't moving quickly enough'

Daily Mail•Oct 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?

2025-12-21

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric by 2030?

9.7