Question

Vaquita porpoise declared extinct before 2020?

Resolved :No40%

5 comments5

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction40% (25% - 48%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

11.7

Community Peer Score

21.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Third entangled endangered whale spotted in span of a week off East Coast

Associated Press•Dec 24, 2024

One in 10 southern right whales alive in 1893 could have still been swimming today, study finds

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Zoo elephant dies after being swept away on tourist island

Independent•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

29.7%

Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?

20%

When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?

2046-10-12

Comments

? comments